Betting Against the Public – How to Fade the Public?

Contrarian betting at online bookies is more difficult and that’s one reason people prefer to go with the flow. By following the public betting trends, casual players have access to easy information. The broad audience tends to side with the favorites and is intimidated by the volatility of underdog betting. Once you have contrarian betting explained, the benefits are self-evident and you get the courage to act.

Another reason people prefer to bet with the public is that they don’t understand odds movement. Many bettors are simply not aware of how do bookies set the odds. If they don’t monitor the odds on favorites, they are not aware of the fact that bookmakers shrink them to mitigate the risks. The influence of media and trends is reassuring, which is classic betting psychology.

The general public is obviously wrong most of the time when live betting, otherwise bookmakers would go bankrupt. The best sports betting strategies revolve around finding value in odds. Long-term betting strategies, based on thorough research and outstanding bankroll management are needed. They help you cash in on reverse line movement and get better odds for value bets.

The answer to how to win at sports betting is spotting value in public betting. When people bet massively in one direction, the opposite odds will rise. Understanding line movement allows you to use handicaps and get the same value available pregame. These tiny advantages accumulate in time and help you offset the dreaded house edge.

The first thing to do if you want to learn how to bet smart in betting is to identify public betting trends. Favorites are the usual suspects, so you can narrow down the search by focusing on major leagues and famous teams. Three tools are available online at the best sports betting exchanges to track public bets, but they are optional. Even basic live scores sites display the current odds and allow users to track their movement.

Sharp betting tips include noting down the initial odds offered by bookmakers. A betting psychology guide will suggest locking in on these odds if you plan on betting the favorites. The most common betting markets affected by public sentiment are outright winners, handicaps, and results at half-time. Value betting comes from fading the crowd on these markets by waiting until the last minute to bet.

The illusion of knowledge is worse than ignorance when betting on sports. Fade the public is one of the betting terms that appeal to the vanity of modern punters. It’s a serious mistake to bet against the public all the time, without solid reasoning. Take one bet at a time and base your decision on unbiased research.

If the betting market analysis points towards favorites winning, you shouldn’t bet the opposite just for the sake of contrarian betting. The reasoning should always be about low odds vs high odds, so if there is no value in a market, it is enough to ignore it.

Betting against the public should be a case-by-case strategy. Successful betting techniques are based on a thorough analysis of market conditions and great timing. The first challenge is to identify a trend driven exclusively by public sentiment. This allows you to lock in on maximum odds for favorites early on. As the odds on the favorites increase you get excellent arbitrage opportunities.

Fading popular bets and famous teams playing in major competitions is generally a good idea. This is no substitute for research and you need to take every single bet or multiple bet seriously. You don’t want to be a sheep putting money on the same events fancied by everyone. Bookmakers will reduce the odds on these markets, to make sure they minimize liabilities. Aspire for betting with the sharps and make it a priority to find value in all your bets.